This calculator estimates how much you are likely to spend on cracked screen repairs over time, with and without a screen protector. By combining your repair cost, how long a protector lasts, and your best guess of breakage risk each month, it gives an expected cost so you can see whether buying protection is financially worthwhile.
The tool focuses on money, not looks. It does not try to predict exactly when your phone will break. Instead, it averages out many possible futures into one number. That makes it useful for questions like:
The model treats phone damage like a simple risk that repeats every month. In any given month, your screen either survives or breaks. The chance of breakage is your monthly breakage probability. If a break happens, you pay the repair cost once for that month.
With a protector, you also spread the cost of the protector itself over its lifespan in months. That gives you a monthly cost of owning protection, even if the screen never breaks.
The core expected monthly cost formula uses MathML notation:
Where:
In words:
Expected monthly cost = protector cost per month + chance of a break that month ร repair cost.
The calculator applies this idea twice:
It then multiplies the expected monthly cost by your chosen number of months of use to get total expected cost over that period.
Suppose you are considering a protector for a modern smartphone with an expensive display. You enter the following values into the calculator:
First, calculate the expected monthly cost with a protector:
Protector cost per month = $15 / 12 = $1.25
Expected repair cost per month = 0.005 ร $250 = $1.25
So the total expected monthly cost with protection is:
$1.25 + $1.25 = $2.50 per month
Next, calculate the expected monthly cost without a protector:
There is no protector cost term, so you only pay for risk:
Expected repair cost per month = 0.02 ร $250 = $5.00 per month
Over 24 months:
In this scenario, using protection roughly halves your expected spending on screen damage over two years.
The calculator compares two main scenarios for your chosen time frame:
| Scenario | What you pay | Expected monthly cost | Total expected cost over selected months |
|---|---|---|---|
| With a protector | Protector(s) + any expected repairs | Protector cost per month + protected break risk ร repair cost | Monthly expected cost ร number of months |
| Without a protector | Only expected repairs | Unprotected break risk ร repair cost | Monthly expected cost ร number of months |
When you run the calculator, look at both total expected costs:
A dynamic scenario table (when provided by the page) can also show how the difference grows year by year. Read each row as the expected total cost if you were to stop using the phone at that point in time.
You do not need perfect numbers to get value from the calculator. Rough estimates still help you see which side of the line you are on. In general, a protector is more likely to be cost-effective when:
It may be less compelling when:
To get useful results, focus on making your inputs realistic rather than perfect.
A simple way to approximate your monthly risk is to look at your own history:
For example, if you broke 2 screens in 5 years of ownership, that is 0.4 breaks per year, or about 0.033 breaks per month (3.3%). That could be a reasonable starting point for your unprotected monthly breakage probability.
Then, think about how much a protector would realistically reduce that risk. If you feel it cuts your break chance by around three quarters, you might enter 3% without protection and 0.75% with it.
The calculator intentionally keeps the model simple. Before using the numbers to decide, be aware of the built-in assumptions:
Use the calculator as a guide to the economics of protection, not as a guarantee of what will happen to your specific phone.
Protectors usually have a low one-time cost, while insurance has an ongoing premium plus a deductible for each claim. For rare accidents and high deductibles, a good protector can be cheaper. If you tend to lose or destroy phones entirely, insurance may cover more types of loss than a simple protector.
Many people replace them every 6โ18 months, or whenever they become chipped, badly scratched, or start to peel. In the calculator, you can treat that interval as the protector lifespan in months.
A sturdy case often lowers the chance of cracks from drops, which reduces your breakage probability in both scenarios. However, even with a case, a protector can still help against direct screen impacts and scratches. The calculator lets you test both possibilities by adjusting your monthly risk numbers.